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Hokkaido北海道

Ashibetsu 芦別市

Data last updated:

Ashibetsu, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 10,581 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 9,137 by 2030 and 4,498 by 2050 (a decrease of about 64.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 47.8% in 2020 to 60.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

10,581명

2030년

(추계)

9,137명

▼ -27.2%

2040년

(추계)

6,483명

▼ -48.4%

2050년

(추계)

4,498명

▼ -64.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 47.8%→2050년 60.2%

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Hokkaido (北海道)의 다른 시구정촌

데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

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Ashibetsu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198032,946▲ +162.4%Census
198530,017▲ +139.1%Census
199025,078▲ +99.7%Census
199522,931▲ +82.6%Census
200021,026▲ +67.5%Census
200518,899▲ +50.5%Census
201016,628▲ +32.4%Census
201514,676▲ +16.9%Census
202012,555—Census
202510,581▼ -15.7%Census
20309,137▼ -27.2%Projection
20357,730▼ -38.4%Projection
20406,483▼ -48.4%Projection
20455,414▼ -56.9%Projection
20504,498▼ -64.2%Projection

About Ashibetsu

Overview

Ashibetsu (芦別市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 10,581 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ashibetsu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ashibetsu's population is expected to reach 9,137 by 2030 (-27.2%), 6,483 by 2040 (-48.4%), and 4,498 by 2050 (-64.2%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Ashibetsu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 47.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 60.2% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Ashibetsu is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #30 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #99 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1324 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Hokkaido (北海道)의 소득 수준: Hokkaido (北海道)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ashibetsu, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ashibetsu has a population of 10,581.
Q.What is the population of Ashibetsu in 2026?
A.Ashibetsu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 10,292. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (10,581) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (9,137).
Q.What is the projected population of Ashibetsu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ashibetsu's population is expected to be 9,137 in 2030, 6,483 in 2040, and 4,498 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ashibetsu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ashibetsu's population is projected to change by -64.2%. The 10-year change is -27.2% and the 20-year change is -48.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Ashibetsu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ashibetsu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 47.8% to 60.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ashibetsu?
A.Ashibetsu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 47.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 60.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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