Hokkaido北海道
Shikabe 鹿部町
Data last updated:
Shikabe, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 3,348 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,039 by 2030 and 1,778 by 2050 (a decrease of about 52.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.3% in 2020 to 54.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025년
(실적)
3,348명
2030년
(추계)
3,039명
▼ -19.2%
2040년
(추계)
2,359명
▼ -37.3%
2050년
(추계)
1,778명
▼ -52.7%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Hokkaido (北海道)의 다른 시구정촌
데이터 출처
- 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」
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Shikabe Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 5,011 | ▲ +33.3% | Census |
| 1985 | 5,107 | ▲ +35.8% | Census |
| 1990 | 4,979 | ▲ +32.4% | Census |
| 1995 | 4,822 | ▲ +28.2% | Census |
| 2000 | 4,907 | ▲ +30.5% | Census |
| 2005 | 4,919 | ▲ +30.8% | Census |
| 2010 | 4,767 | ▲ +26.8% | Census |
| 2015 | 4,226 | ▲ +12.4% | Census |
| 2020 | 3,760 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 3,348 | ▼ -11.0% | Census |
| 2030 | 3,039 | ▼ -19.2% | Projection |
| 2035 | 2,694 | ▼ -28.4% | Projection |
| 2040 | 2,359 | ▼ -37.3% | Projection |
| 2045 | 2,057 | ▼ -45.3% | Projection |
| 2050 | 1,778 | ▼ -52.7% | Projection |
About Shikabe
Overview
Shikabe (鹿部町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 3,348 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Shikabe
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shikabe's population is expected to reach 3,039 by 2030 (-19.2%), 2,359 by 2040 (-37.3%), and 1,778 by 2050 (-52.7%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.
Aging Rate of Shikabe
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 54.6% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.
National Comparison
Shikabe is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #237 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #295 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #1702 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido
Hokkaido (北海道)의 소득 수준: Hokkaido (北海道)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사