일본 인구 감소 시뮬레이터

Hokkaido北海道

Shibecha 標茶町

Data last updated:

Shibecha, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 6,516 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 6,108 by 2030 and 4,102 by 2050 (a decrease of about 43.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.2% in 2020 to 42.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

6,516명

2030년

(추계)

6,108명

▼ -15.5%

2040년

(추계)

5,080명

▼ -29.7%

2050년

(추계)

4,102명

▼ -43.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 34.2%→2050년 42.8%

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Hokkaido (北海道)의 다른 시구정촌

데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

※이 서비스는 e-Stat의 API 기능을 사용하고 있으나 서비스 내용은 일본 정부에 의해 보증된 것이 아닙니다.

Shibecha Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198012,297▲ +70.1%Census
198511,633▲ +60.9%Census
199010,701▲ +48.0%Census
199510,015▲ +38.5%Census
20009,388▲ +29.8%Census
20058,936▲ +23.6%Census
20108,285▲ +14.6%Census
20157,742▲ +7.1%Census
20207,230—Census
20256,516▼ -9.9%Census
20306,108▼ -15.5%Projection
20355,586▼ -22.7%Projection
20405,080▼ -29.7%Projection
20454,584▼ -36.6%Projection
20504,102▼ -43.3%Projection

About Shibecha

Overview

Shibecha (標茶町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 6,516 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Shibecha

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shibecha's population is expected to reach 6,108 by 2030 (-15.5%), 5,080 by 2040 (-29.7%), and 4,102 by 2050 (-43.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Shibecha

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.8% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Shibecha is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #587 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1034 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1493 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Hokkaido (北海道)의 소득 수준: Hokkaido (北海道)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shibecha, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Shibecha has a population of 6,516.
Q.What is the population of Shibecha in 2026?
A.Shibecha's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 6,434. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (6,516) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (6,108).
Q.What is the projected population of Shibecha in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shibecha's population is expected to be 6,108 in 2030, 5,080 in 2040, and 4,102 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shibecha?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shibecha's population is projected to change by -43.3%. The 10-year change is -15.5% and the 20-year change is -29.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Shibecha declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shibecha, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.2% to 42.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shibecha?
A.Shibecha's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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