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Hokkaido北海道

Nakashibetsu 中標津町

Data last updated:

Nakashibetsu, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 21,783 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 20,948 by 2030 and 16,552 by 2050 (a decrease of about 28.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 26.8% in 2020 to 43.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

21,783명

2030년

(추계)

20,948명

▼ -9.0%

2040년

(추계)

18,953명

▼ -17.6%

2050년

(추계)

16,552명

▼ -28.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 26.8%→2050년 43.2%

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Hokkaido (北海道)의 다른 시구정촌

데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

※이 서비스는 e-Stat의 API 기능을 사용하고 있으나 서비스 내용은 일본 정부에 의해 보증된 것이 아닙니다.

Nakashibetsu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198021,187▼ -7.9%Census
198521,675▼ -5.8%Census
199021,900▼ -4.8%Census
199522,326▼ -3.0%Census
200023,179▲ +0.7%Census
200523,792▲ +3.4%Census
201023,982▲ +4.2%Census
201523,774▲ +3.3%Census
202023,010—Census
202521,783▼ -5.3%Census
203020,948▼ -9.0%Projection
203519,972▼ -13.2%Projection
204018,953▼ -17.6%Projection
204517,817▼ -22.6%Projection
205016,552▼ -28.1%Projection

About Nakashibetsu

Overview

Nakashibetsu (中標津町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 21,783 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nakashibetsu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nakashibetsu's population is expected to reach 20,948 by 2030 (-9.0%), 18,953 by 2040 (-17.6%), and 16,552 by 2050 (-28.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nakashibetsu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 26.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nakashibetsu's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1114 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1004 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1041 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Hokkaido (北海道)의 소득 수준: Hokkaido (北海道)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nakashibetsu, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nakashibetsu has a population of 21,783.
Q.What is the population of Nakashibetsu in 2026?
A.Nakashibetsu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 21,616. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (21,783) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (20,948).
Q.What is the projected population of Nakashibetsu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nakashibetsu's population is expected to be 20,948 in 2030, 18,953 in 2040, and 16,552 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nakashibetsu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nakashibetsu's population is projected to change by -28.1%. The 10-year change is -9.0% and the 20-year change is -17.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Nakashibetsu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nakashibetsu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 26.8% to 43.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nakashibetsu?
A.Nakashibetsu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 26.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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