일본 인구 감소 시뮬레이터

Yamagata山形県

Tozawa 戸沢村

Data last updated:

Tozawa, Yamagata, Japan has a population of 3,552 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,310 by 2030 and 1,848 by 2050 (a decrease of about 56.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.6% in 2020 to 59.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

3,552명

2030년

(추계)

3,310명

▼ -21.2%

2040년

(추계)

2,540명

▼ -39.5%

2050년

(추계)

1,848명

▼ -56.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 40.6%→2050년 59.6%

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데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

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Tozawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19807,601▲ +81.0%Census
19857,421▲ +76.7%Census
19907,248▲ +72.6%Census
19956,959▲ +65.7%Census
20006,450▲ +53.6%Census
20055,915▲ +40.9%Census
20105,304▲ +26.3%Census
20154,773▲ +13.7%Census
20204,199—Census
20253,552▼ -15.4%Census
20303,310▼ -21.2%Projection
20352,917▼ -30.5%Projection
20402,540▼ -39.5%Projection
20452,185▼ -48.0%Projection
20501,848▼ -56.0%Projection

About Tozawa

Overview

Tozawa (戸沢村) is a municipality in Yamagata, Japan, with a population of 3,552 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tozawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tozawa's population is expected to reach 3,310 by 2030 (-21.2%), 2,540 by 2040 (-39.5%), and 1,848 by 2050 (-56.0%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Tozawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 59.6% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Tozawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #137 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #121 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1689 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamagata

Yamagata (山形県)의 소득 수준: Yamagata (山形県)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tozawa, Yamagata?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tozawa has a population of 3,552.
Q.What is the population of Tozawa in 2026?
A.Tozawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,504. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,552) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,310).
Q.What is the projected population of Tozawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tozawa's population is expected to be 3,310 in 2030, 2,540 in 2040, and 1,848 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tozawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tozawa's population is projected to change by -56.0%. The 10-year change is -21.2% and the 20-year change is -39.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Tozawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tozawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.6% to 59.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tozawa?
A.Tozawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 59.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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