일본 인구 감소 시뮬레이터

Saitama埼玉県

Warabi 蕨市

Data last updated:

Warabi, Saitama, Japan has a population of 75,454 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 74,684 by 2030 and 72,917 by 2050 (a decrease of about 1.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 23.4% in 2020 to 29.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

75,454명

2030년

(추계)

74,684명

▲ +0.5%

2040년

(추계)

74,355명

▲ +0.1%

2050년

(추계)

72,917명

▼ -1.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 23.4%→2050년 29.3%

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Saitama (埼玉県)의 다른 시구정촌

데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

※이 서비스는 e-Stat의 API 기능을 사용하고 있으나 서비스 내용은 일본 정부에 의해 보증된 것이 아닙니다.

Warabi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198070,876▼ -4.6%Census
198570,408▼ -5.2%Census
199073,620▼ -0.9%Census
199572,021▼ -3.0%Census
200071,063▼ -4.3%Census
200570,010▼ -5.8%Census
201071,502▼ -3.7%Census
201572,260▼ -2.7%Census
202074,283—Census
202575,454▲ +1.6%Census
203074,684▲ +0.5%Projection
203574,655▲ +0.5%Projection
204074,355▲ +0.1%Projection
204573,741▼ -0.7%Projection
205072,917▼ -1.8%Projection

About Warabi

Overview

Warabi (蕨市) is a municipality in Saitama, Japan, with a population of 75,454 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Warabi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Warabi's population is expected to reach 74,684 by 2030 (+0.5%), 74,355 by 2040 (+0.1%), and 72,917 by 2050 (-1.8%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Warabi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 23.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 29.3% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Warabi's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1770 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1845 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #516 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Saitama

Saitama (埼玉県)의 소득 수준: Saitama (埼玉県)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Warabi, Saitama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Warabi has a population of 75,454.
Q.What is the population of Warabi in 2026?
A.Warabi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 75,300. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (75,454) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (74,684).
Q.What is the projected population of Warabi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Warabi's population is expected to be 74,684 in 2030, 74,355 in 2040, and 72,917 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Warabi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Warabi's population is projected to change by -1.8%. The 10-year change is +0.5% and the 20-year change is +0.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Warabi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Warabi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 23.4% to 29.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Warabi?
A.Warabi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 23.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 29.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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