일본 인구 감소 시뮬레이터

Yamanashi山梨県

Ootsuki 大月市

Data last updated:

Ootsuki, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 20,034 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 17,746 by 2030 and 9,672 by 2050 (a decrease of about 57.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.7% in 2020 to 59.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

20,034명

2030년

(추계)

17,746명

▼ -21.2%

2040년

(추계)

13,423명

▼ -40.4%

2050년

(추계)

9,672명

▼ -57.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 40.7%→2050년 59.9%

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데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

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Ootsuki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198035,404▲ +57.3%Census
198534,914▲ +55.1%Census
199034,941▲ +55.2%Census
199535,199▲ +56.4%Census
200033,124▲ +47.1%Census
200530,879▲ +37.2%Census
201028,120▲ +24.9%Census
201525,419▲ +12.9%Census
202022,512—Census
202520,034▼ -11.0%Census
203017,746▼ -21.2%Projection
203515,528▼ -31.0%Projection
204013,423▼ -40.4%Projection
204511,463▼ -49.1%Projection
20509,672▼ -57.0%Projection

About Ootsuki

Overview

Ootsuki (大月市) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 20,034 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ootsuki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ootsuki's population is expected to reach 17,746 by 2030 (-21.2%), 13,423 by 2040 (-40.4%), and 9,672 by 2050 (-57.0%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Ootsuki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 59.9% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Ootsuki is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #120 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #110 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1076 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Yamanashi (山梨県)의 소득 수준: Yamanashi (山梨県)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ootsuki, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ootsuki has a population of 20,034.
Q.What is the population of Ootsuki in 2026?
A.Ootsuki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 19,576. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (20,034) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (17,746).
Q.What is the projected population of Ootsuki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ootsuki's population is expected to be 17,746 in 2030, 13,423 in 2040, and 9,672 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ootsuki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ootsuki's population is projected to change by -57.0%. The 10-year change is -21.2% and the 20-year change is -40.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Ootsuki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ootsuki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.7% to 59.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ootsuki?
A.Ootsuki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 59.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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