일본 인구 감소 시뮬레이터

Osaka大阪府

Kashiwara 柏原市

Data last updated:

Kashiwara, Osaka, Japan has a population of 65,794 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 61,547 by 2030 and 44,402 by 2050 (a decrease of about 35.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 29.5% in 2020 to 43.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

65,794명

2030년

(추계)

61,547명

▼ -10.5%

2040년

(추계)

52,748명

▼ -23.3%

2050년

(추계)

44,402명

▼ -35.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 29.5%→2050년 43.2%

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Osaka (大阪府)의 다른 시구정촌

데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

※이 서비스는 e-Stat의 API 기능을 사용하고 있으나 서비스 내용은 일본 정부에 의해 보증된 것이 아닙니다.

Kashiwara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198069,836▲ +1.5%Census
198573,252▲ +6.5%Census
199076,819▲ +11.7%Census
199580,303▲ +16.8%Census
200079,227▲ +15.2%Census
200577,034▲ +12.0%Census
201074,773▲ +8.7%Census
201571,112▲ +3.4%Census
202068,775—Census
202565,794▼ -4.3%Census
203061,547▼ -10.5%Projection
203557,170▼ -16.9%Projection
204052,748▼ -23.3%Projection
204548,470▼ -29.5%Projection
205044,402▼ -35.4%Projection

About Kashiwara

Overview

Kashiwara (柏原市) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 65,794 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kashiwara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kashiwara's population is expected to reach 61,547 by 2030 (-10.5%), 52,748 by 2040 (-23.3%), and 44,402 by 2050 (-35.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kashiwara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 29.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kashiwara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #881 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1007 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #574 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Osaka (大阪府)의 소득 수준: Osaka (大阪府)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kashiwara, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kashiwara has a population of 65,794.
Q.What is the population of Kashiwara in 2026?
A.Kashiwara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 64,945. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (65,794) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (61,547).
Q.What is the projected population of Kashiwara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kashiwara's population is expected to be 61,547 in 2030, 52,748 in 2040, and 44,402 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kashiwara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kashiwara's population is projected to change by -35.4%. The 10-year change is -10.5% and the 20-year change is -23.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Kashiwara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kashiwara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 29.5% to 43.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kashiwara?
A.Kashiwara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 29.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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