일본 인구 감소 시뮬레이터

Tokushima徳島県

Tokushima 徳島市

Data last updated:

Tokushima, Tokushima, Japan has a population of 240,957 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 235,582 by 2030 and 192,475 by 2050 (a decrease of about 23.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.7% in 2020 to 41.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

240,957명

2030년

(추계)

235,582명

▼ -6.7%

2040년

(추계)

215,077명

▼ -14.8%

2050년

(추계)

192,475명

▼ -23.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 30.7%→2050년 41.1%

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Tokushima (徳島県)의 다른 시구정촌

데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

※이 서비스는 e-Stat의 API 기능을 사용하고 있으나 서비스 내용은 일본 정부에 의해 보증된 것이 아닙니다.

Tokushima Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980249,343▼ -1.2%Census
1985257,884▲ +2.2%Census
1990263,356▲ +4.3%Census
1995268,706▲ +6.5%Census
2000268,218▲ +6.3%Census
2005267,833▲ +6.1%Census
2010264,548▲ +4.8%Census
2015258,554▲ +2.4%Census
2020252,391—Census
2025240,957▼ -4.5%Census
2030235,582▼ -6.7%Projection
2035225,797▼ -10.5%Projection
2040215,077▼ -14.8%Projection
2045203,711▼ -19.3%Projection
2050192,475▼ -23.7%Projection

About Tokushima

Overview

Tokushima (徳島市) is a municipality in Tokushima, Japan, with a population of 240,957 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tokushima

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tokushima's population is expected to reach 235,582 by 2030 (-6.7%), 215,077 by 2040 (-14.8%), and 192,475 by 2050 (-23.7%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tokushima

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Tokushima's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1243 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1161 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #130 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokushima

Tokushima (徳島県)의 소득 수준: Tokushima (徳島県)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tokushima, Tokushima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tokushima has a population of 240,957.
Q.What is the population of Tokushima in 2026?
A.Tokushima's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 239,882. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (240,957) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (235,582).
Q.What is the projected population of Tokushima in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tokushima's population is expected to be 235,582 in 2030, 215,077 in 2040, and 192,475 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tokushima?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tokushima's population is projected to change by -23.7%. The 10-year change is -6.7% and the 20-year change is -14.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Tokushima declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tokushima, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.7% to 41.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tokushima?
A.Tokushima's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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