일본 인구 감소 시뮬레이터

Kochi高知県

Nakatosa 中土佐町

Data last updated:

Nakatosa, Kochi, Japan has a population of 5,298 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 4,636 by 2030 and 2,494 by 2050 (a decrease of about 58.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 48.3% in 2020 to 64.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025년

(실적)

5,298명

2030년

(추계)

4,636명

▼ -22.8%

2040년

(추계)

3,469명

▼ -42.2%

2050년

(추계)

2,494명

▼ -58.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

고령화율(65세 이상): 2020년 48.3%→2050년 64%

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Kochi (高知県)의 다른 시구정촌

데이터 출처

  • 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」

※이 서비스는 e-Stat의 API 기능을 사용하고 있으나 서비스 내용은 일본 정부에 의해 보증된 것이 아닙니다.

Nakatosa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198010,753▲ +79.2%Census
198510,374▲ +72.8%Census
19909,852▲ +64.1%Census
19959,321▲ +55.3%Census
20008,722▲ +45.3%Census
20058,320▲ +38.6%Census
20107,584▲ +26.4%Census
20156,840▲ +14.0%Census
20206,002—Census
20255,298▼ -11.7%Census
20304,636▼ -22.8%Projection
20354,028▼ -32.9%Projection
20403,469▼ -42.2%Projection
20452,952▼ -50.8%Projection
20502,494▼ -58.4%Projection

About Nakatosa

Overview

Nakatosa (中土佐町) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 5,298 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nakatosa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nakatosa's population is expected to reach 4,636 by 2030 (-22.8%), 3,469 by 2040 (-42.2%), and 2,494 by 2050 (-58.4%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Nakatosa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 48.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 64.0% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nakatosa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #91 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #43 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1581 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Kochi (高知県)의 소득 수준: Kochi (高知県)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nakatosa, Kochi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nakatosa has a population of 5,298.
Q.What is the population of Nakatosa in 2026?
A.Nakatosa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 5,166. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (5,298) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (4,636).
Q.What is the projected population of Nakatosa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nakatosa's population is expected to be 4,636 in 2030, 3,469 in 2040, and 2,494 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nakatosa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nakatosa's population is projected to change by -58.4%. The 10-year change is -22.8% and the 20-year change is -42.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Nakatosa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nakatosa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 48.3% to 64.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nakatosa?
A.Nakatosa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 48.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 64.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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