Nagasaki長崎県
Shimabara 島原市
Data last updated:
Shimabara, Nagasaki, Japan has a population of 40,416 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 38,057 by 2030 and 27,091 by 2050 (a decrease of about 37.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.9% in 2020 to 47.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025년
(실적)
40,416명
2030년
(추계)
38,057명
▼ -12.2%
2040년
(추계)
32,543명
▼ -24.9%
2050년
(추계)
27,091명
▼ -37.5%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Nagasaki (長崎県)의 다른 시구정촌
데이터 출처
- 일본 정부 통계 종합 포털(e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- 국립사회보장・인구문제연구소 「일본의 지역별 장래추계인구(레이와 5년 추계)」
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Shimabara Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 58,890 | ▲ +35.9% | Census |
| 1985 | 58,457 | ▲ +34.9% | Census |
| 1990 | 56,903 | ▲ +31.3% | Census |
| 1995 | 52,853 | ▲ +22.0% | Census |
| 2000 | 51,563 | ▲ +19.0% | Census |
| 2005 | 50,045 | ▲ +15.5% | Census |
| 2010 | 47,455 | ▲ +9.5% | Census |
| 2015 | 45,436 | ▲ +4.8% | Census |
| 2020 | 43,338 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 40,416 | ▼ -6.7% | Census |
| 2030 | 38,057 | ▼ -12.2% | Projection |
| 2035 | 35,282 | ▼ -18.6% | Projection |
| 2040 | 32,543 | ▼ -24.9% | Projection |
| 2045 | 29,784 | ▼ -31.3% | Projection |
| 2050 | 27,091 | ▼ -37.5% | Projection |
About Shimabara
Overview
Shimabara (島原市) is a municipality in Nagasaki, Japan, with a population of 40,416 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Shimabara
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shimabara's population is expected to reach 38,057 by 2030 (-12.2%), 32,543 by 2040 (-24.9%), and 27,091 by 2050 (-37.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.
Aging Rate of Shimabara
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.7% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Shimabara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #812 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #706 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #776 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagasaki
Nagasaki (長崎県)의 소득 수준: Nagasaki (長崎県)의 평균 연봉(연령·성별·기업 규모별)jpsalary / 후생노동성 임금구조 기본통계조사