日本人口减少模拟器

Hokkaido北海道

Minami 札幌市南区

Data last updated:

Minami, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 132,396 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 123,166 by 2030 and 92,329 by 2050 (a decrease of about 32.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.9% in 2020 to 48.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

132,396人

2030年

(预测)

123,166人

▼ -9.3%

2040年

(预测)

108,014人

▼ -20.4%

2050年

(预测)

92,329人

▼ -32.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 35.9%→2050年 48.2%

Hokkaido (北海道)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Minami Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980128,845▼ -5.1%Census
1985141,743▲ +4.4%Census
1990148,393▲ +9.3%Census
1995155,650▲ +14.6%Census
2000156,787▲ +15.5%Census
2005153,021▲ +12.7%Census
2010146,341▲ +7.8%Census
2015141,190▲ +4.0%Census
2020135,777—Census
2025132,396▼ -2.5%Census
2030123,166▼ -9.3%Projection
2035115,887▼ -14.6%Projection
2040108,014▼ -20.4%Projection
204599,984▼ -26.4%Projection
205092,329▼ -32.0%Projection

About Minami

Overview

Minami (札幌市南区) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 132,396 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Minami

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minami's population is expected to reach 123,166 by 2030 (-9.3%), 108,014 by 2040 (-20.4%), and 92,329 by 2050 (-32.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Minami

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 48.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Minami's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #988 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #675 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #309 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Hokkaido (北海道)的收入水平: Hokkaido (北海道)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minami, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Minami has a population of 132,396.
Q.What is the population of Minami in 2026?
A.Minami's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 130,550. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (132,396) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (123,166).
Q.What is the projected population of Minami in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minami's population is expected to be 123,166 in 2030, 108,014 in 2040, and 92,329 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minami?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minami's population is projected to change by -32.0%. The 10-year change is -9.3% and the 20-year change is -20.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Minami declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Minami, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.9% to 48.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minami?
A.Minami's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 48.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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