日本人口减少模拟器

Yamagata山形県

Nagai 長井市

Data last updated:

Nagai, Yamagata, Japan has a population of 24,561 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 23,140 by 2030 and 16,881 by 2050 (a decrease of about 36.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.7% in 2020 to 44.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年实际

24,561人

2030年预测

23,140人

▼ -12.8%

2040年预测

20,005人

▼ -24.6%

2050年预测

16,881人

▼ -36.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 35.7%→2050年 44.6%

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岁

Yamagata (山形県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Nagai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198033,286▲ +25.4%Census
198533,490▲ +26.2%Census
199033,260▲ +25.3%Census
199532,727▲ +23.3%Census
200031,987▲ +20.5%Census
200530,929▲ +16.5%Census
201029,473▲ +11.0%Census
201527,757▲ +4.6%Census
202026,543—Census
202524,561▼ -7.5%Census
203023,140▼ -12.8%Projection
203521,564▼ -18.8%Projection
204020,005▼ -24.6%Projection
204518,441▼ -30.5%Projection
205016,881▼ -36.4%Projection

About Nagai

Overview

Nagai (長井市) is a municipality in Yamagata, Japan, with a population of 24,561 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nagai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nagai's population is expected to reach 23,140 by 2030 (-12.8%), 20,005 by 2040 (-24.6%), and 16,881 by 2050 (-36.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nagai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nagai's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #841 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #905 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #998 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamagata

Yamagata (山形県)的收入水平: Yamagata (山形県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nagai, Yamagata?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nagai has a population of 24,561.
Q.What is the population of Nagai in 2026?
A.Nagai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 24,277. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (24,561) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (23,140).
Q.What is the projected population of Nagai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nagai's population is expected to be 23,140 in 2030, 20,005 in 2040, and 16,881 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nagai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nagai's population is projected to change by -36.4%. The 10-year change is -12.8% and the 20-year change is -24.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Nagai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nagai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.7% to 44.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nagai?
A.Nagai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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