日本人口减少模拟器

Tokyo東京都

Machida 町田市

Data last updated:

Machida, Tokyo, Japan has a population of 431,525 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 427,113 by 2030 and 406,456 by 2050 (a decrease of about 5.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 27.6% to 36.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020年

(实际)

431,525人

2030年

(预测)

427,113人

▼ -1.0%

2040年

(预测)

417,122人

▼ -3.3%

2050年

(预测)

406,456人

▼ -5.8%

老龄化率（65岁以上）: 2020年 27.6%→2050年 36.7%

Tokyo (東京都)的其他市区町村

Tokyo 23 Wards特別区部Chiyoda千代田区Chuuou中央区Minato港区Shinjuku新宿区Bunkyou文京区Taitou台東区Sumida墨田区Koutou江東区Shinagawa品川区Meguro目黒区Oota大田区Setagaya世田谷区Shibuya渋谷区Nakano中野区Suginami杉並区Toshima豊島区Kita北区Arakawa荒川区Itabashi板橋区
查看Tokyo (東京都)的所有市区町村 →

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口（令和5年推计）」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能，但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Machida Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
2020431,525—Census
2025431,122▼ -0.1%Projection
2030427,113▼ -1.0%Projection
2035422,245▼ -2.2%Projection
2040417,122▼ -3.3%Projection
2045411,871▼ -4.6%Projection
2050406,456▼ -5.8%Projection

About Machida

Overview

Machida (町田市) is a municipality in Tokyo, Japan, with a population of 431,525 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Machida

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Machida's population is expected to reach 427,113 by 2030 (-1.0%), 417,122 by 2040 (-3.3%), and 406,456 by 2050 (-5.8%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Machida

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 27.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 36.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Machida's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1705 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1501 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #48 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokyo

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Machida, Tokyo?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Machida has a population of 431,525.
Q.What is the population of Machida in 2026?
A.Machida's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 430,320. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (431,525) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (427,113).
Q.What is the projected population of Machida in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Machida's population is expected to be 427,113 in 2030, 417,122 in 2040, and 406,456 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Machida?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Machida's population is projected to change by -5.8%. The 10-year change is -1.0% and the 20-year change is -3.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Machida declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Machida, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 27.6% to 36.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Machida?
A.Machida's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 27.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 36.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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