日本人口减少模拟器

Yamanashi山梨県

Minobu 身延町

Data last updated:

Minobu, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 8,910 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 7,672 by 2030 and 3,778 by 2050 (a decrease of about 64.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 47.6% in 2020 to 65.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

8,910人

2030年

(预测)

7,672人

▼ -28.1%

2040年

(预测)

5,525人

▼ -48.2%

2050年

(预测)

3,778人

▼ -64.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 47.6%→2050年 65.8%

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岁

Yamanashi (山梨県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Minobu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198023,222▲ +117.8%Census
198522,327▲ +109.4%Census
199020,849▲ +95.5%Census
199519,570▲ +83.5%Census
200018,021▲ +69.0%Census
200516,334▲ +53.2%Census
201014,462▲ +35.6%Census
201512,669▲ +18.8%Census
202010,663—Census
20258,910▼ -16.4%Census
20307,672▼ -28.1%Projection
20356,551▼ -38.6%Projection
20405,525▼ -48.2%Projection
20454,599▼ -56.9%Projection
20503,778▼ -64.6%Projection

About Minobu

Overview

Minobu (身延町) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 8,910 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Minobu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minobu's population is expected to reach 7,672 by 2030 (-28.1%), 5,525 by 2040 (-48.2%), and 3,778 by 2050 (-64.6%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Minobu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 47.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 65.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Minobu is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #29 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #30 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1397 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Yamanashi (山梨県)的收入水平: Yamanashi (山梨県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minobu, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Minobu has a population of 8,910.
Q.What is the population of Minobu in 2026?
A.Minobu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 8,662. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (8,910) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (7,672).
Q.What is the projected population of Minobu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minobu's population is expected to be 7,672 in 2030, 5,525 in 2040, and 3,778 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minobu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minobu's population is projected to change by -64.6%. The 10-year change is -28.1% and the 20-year change is -48.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Minobu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Minobu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 47.6% to 65.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minobu?
A.Minobu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 47.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 65.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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