日本人口减少模拟器

Nagano長野県

Nakano 中野市

Data last updated:

Nakano, Nagano, Japan has a population of 40,223 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 38,452 by 2030 and 29,506 by 2050 (a decrease of about 30.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 32.5% in 2020 to 45.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

40,223人

2030年

(预测)

38,452人

▼ -9.2%

2040年

(预测)

34,149人

▼ -19.3%

2050年

(预测)

29,506人

▼ -30.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 32.5%→2050年 45%

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岁

Nagano (長野県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Nakano Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198044,985▲ +6.3%Census
198546,105▲ +8.9%Census
199046,468▲ +9.8%Census
199547,529▲ +12.3%Census
200047,845▲ +13.0%Census
200546,788▲ +10.5%Census
201045,638▲ +7.8%Census
201543,909▲ +3.7%Census
202042,338—Census
202540,223▼ -5.0%Census
203038,452▼ -9.2%Projection
203536,351▼ -14.1%Projection
204034,149▼ -19.3%Projection
204531,853▼ -24.8%Projection
205029,506▼ -30.3%Projection

About Nakano

Overview

Nakano (中野市) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 40,223 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nakano

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nakano's population is expected to reach 38,452 by 2030 (-9.2%), 34,149 by 2040 (-19.3%), and 29,506 by 2050 (-30.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nakano

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 32.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 45.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nakano's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1048 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #886 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #778 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Nagano (長野県)的收入水平: Nagano (長野県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nakano, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nakano has a population of 40,223.
Q.What is the population of Nakano in 2026?
A.Nakano's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 39,869. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (40,223) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (38,452).
Q.What is the projected population of Nakano in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nakano's population is expected to be 38,452 in 2030, 34,149 in 2040, and 29,506 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nakano?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nakano's population is projected to change by -30.3%. The 10-year change is -9.2% and the 20-year change is -19.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Nakano declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nakano, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 32.5% to 45.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nakano?
A.Nakano's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 32.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 45.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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