日本人口减少模拟器

Aichi愛知県

Kariya 刈谷市

Data last updated:

Kariya, Aichi, Japan has a population of 153,926 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 154,984 by 2030 and 145,393 by 2050 (a decrease of about 5.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 20.6% to 31.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(实际)

153,926

2030

(预测)

154,984

+0.7%

2040

(预测)

151,845

-1.4%

2050

(预测)

145,393

-5.5%

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020 20.6%2050 31.3%

Aichi (愛知県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Kariya Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
2020153,926Census
2025155,197▲ +0.8%Projection
2030154,984▲ +0.7%Projection
2035153,925→ 0.0%Projection
2040151,845▼ -1.4%Projection
2045148,880▼ -3.3%Projection
2050145,393▼ -5.5%Projection

About Kariya

Overview

Kariya (刈谷市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 153,926 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Kariya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kariya's population is expected to reach 154,984 by 2030 (+0.7%), 151,845 by 2040 (-1.4%), and 145,393 by 2050 (-5.5%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kariya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 20.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 31.3% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kariya's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1709 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1802 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #257 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kariya, Aichi?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Kariya has a population of 153,926.
Q.What is the population of Kariya in 2026?
A.Kariya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 155,154. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (153,926) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (154,984).
Q.What is the projected population of Kariya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kariya's population is expected to be 154,984 in 2030, 151,845 in 2040, and 145,393 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kariya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kariya's population is projected to change by -5.5%. The 10-year change is +0.7% and the 20-year change is -1.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Kariya declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kariya, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 20.6% to 31.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kariya?
A.Kariya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 20.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 31.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Aichi

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page