日本人口减少模拟器

Nara奈良県

Kanmaki 上牧町

Data last updated:

Kanmaki, Nara, Japan has a population of 20,889 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 19,279 by 2030 and 13,481 by 2050 (a decrease of about 37.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.8% in 2020 to 56.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

20,889人

2030年

(预测)

19,279人

▼ -11.2%

2040年

(预测)

16,484人

▼ -24.1%

2050年

(预测)

13,481人

▼ -37.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 35.8%→2050年 56.6%

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岁

Nara (奈良県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Kanmaki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198016,452▼ -24.2%Census
198518,826▼ -13.3%Census
199021,336▼ -1.7%Census
199523,811▲ +9.7%Census
200024,005▲ +10.6%Census
200524,953▲ +14.9%Census
201023,728▲ +9.3%Census
201522,054▲ +1.6%Census
202021,714—Census
202520,889▼ -3.8%Census
203019,279▼ -11.2%Projection
203517,946▼ -17.4%Projection
204016,484▼ -24.1%Projection
204514,937▼ -31.2%Projection
205013,481▼ -37.9%Projection

About Kanmaki

Overview

Kanmaki (上牧町) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 20,889 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kanmaki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kanmaki's population is expected to reach 19,279 by 2030 (-11.2%), 16,484 by 2040 (-24.1%), and 13,481 by 2050 (-37.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kanmaki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 56.6% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kanmaki's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #795 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #217 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1058 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Nara (奈良県)的收入水平: Nara (奈良県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kanmaki, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kanmaki has a population of 20,889.
Q.What is the population of Kanmaki in 2026?
A.Kanmaki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 20,567. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (20,889) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (19,279).
Q.What is the projected population of Kanmaki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kanmaki's population is expected to be 19,279 in 2030, 16,484 in 2040, and 13,481 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kanmaki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kanmaki's population is projected to change by -37.9%. The 10-year change is -11.2% and the 20-year change is -24.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Kanmaki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kanmaki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.8% to 56.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kanmaki?
A.Kanmaki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 56.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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