日本人口减少模拟器

Okayama岡山県

Maniwa 真庭市

Data last updated:

Maniwa, Okayama, Japan has a population of 38,441 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 35,658 by 2030 and 24,564 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.0% in 2020 to 49.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年实际

38,441人

2030年预测

35,658人

▼ -16.5%

2040年预测

29,821人

▼ -30.2%

2050年预测

24,564人

▼ -42.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 40%→2050年 49.1%

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岁

Okayama (岡山県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Maniwa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198060,586▲ +41.8%Census
198560,196▲ +40.9%Census
199058,754▲ +37.5%Census
199556,607▲ +32.5%Census
200054,747▲ +28.1%Census
200551,782▲ +21.2%Census
201048,964▲ +14.6%Census
201546,124▲ +8.0%Census
202042,725—Census
202538,441▼ -10.0%Census
203035,658▼ -16.5%Projection
203532,647▼ -23.6%Projection
204029,821▼ -30.2%Projection
204527,135▼ -36.5%Projection
205024,564▼ -42.5%Projection

About Maniwa

Overview

Maniwa (真庭市) is a municipality in Okayama, Japan, with a population of 38,441 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Maniwa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Maniwa's population is expected to reach 35,658 by 2030 (-16.5%), 29,821 by 2040 (-30.2%), and 24,564 by 2050 (-42.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Maniwa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 49.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Maniwa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #631 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #620 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #793 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okayama

Okayama (岡山県)的收入水平: Okayama (岡山県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Maniwa, Okayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Maniwa has a population of 38,441.
Q.What is the population of Maniwa in 2026?
A.Maniwa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 37,884. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (38,441) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (35,658).
Q.What is the projected population of Maniwa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Maniwa's population is expected to be 35,658 in 2030, 29,821 in 2040, and 24,564 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Maniwa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Maniwa's population is projected to change by -42.5%. The 10-year change is -16.5% and the 20-year change is -30.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Maniwa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Maniwa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.0% to 49.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Maniwa?
A.Maniwa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 49.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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