日本人口减少模拟器

Tokushima徳島県

Naruto 鳴門市

Data last updated:

Naruto, Tokushima, Japan has a population of 51,000 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 47,902 by 2030 and 33,701 by 2050 (a decrease of about 38.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.3% in 2020 to 47.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

51,000人

2030年

(预测)

47,902人

▼ -12.3%

2040年

(预测)

40,760人

▼ -25.4%

2050年

(预测)

33,701人

▼ -38.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 35.3%→2050年 47.9%

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岁

Tokushima (徳島県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Naruto Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198063,423▲ +16.1%Census
198564,329▲ +17.8%Census
199064,575▲ +18.2%Census
199564,923▲ +18.9%Census
200064,620▲ +18.3%Census
200563,200▲ +15.7%Census
201061,513▲ +12.6%Census
201559,101▲ +8.2%Census
202054,622—Census
202551,000▼ -6.6%Census
203047,902▼ -12.3%Projection
203544,392▼ -18.7%Projection
204040,760▼ -25.4%Projection
204537,129▼ -32.0%Projection
205033,701▼ -38.3%Projection

About Naruto

Overview

Naruto (鳴門市) is a municipality in Tokushima, Japan, with a population of 51,000 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Naruto

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Naruto's population is expected to reach 47,902 by 2030 (-12.3%), 40,760 by 2040 (-25.4%), and 33,701 by 2050 (-38.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Naruto

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.9% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Naruto's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #780 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #696 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #673 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokushima

Tokushima (徳島県)的收入水平: Tokushima (徳島県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Naruto, Tokushima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Naruto has a population of 51,000.
Q.What is the population of Naruto in 2026?
A.Naruto's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 50,380. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (51,000) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (47,902).
Q.What is the projected population of Naruto in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Naruto's population is expected to be 47,902 in 2030, 40,760 in 2040, and 33,701 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Naruto?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Naruto's population is projected to change by -38.3%. The 10-year change is -12.3% and the 20-year change is -25.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Naruto declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Naruto, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.3% to 47.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Naruto?
A.Naruto's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 47.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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