日本人口减少模拟器

Saga佐賀県

Tosu 鳥栖市

Data last updated:

Tosu, Saga, Japan has a population of 74,435 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 75,395 by 2030 and 72,385 by 2050 (a decrease of about 2.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 24.4% in 2020 to 33.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年实际

74,435人

2030年预测

75,395人

▲ +1.6%

2040年预测

74,614人

▲ +0.6%

2050年预测

72,385人

▼ -2.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 24.4%→2050年 33.6%

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岁

Saga (佐賀県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Tosu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198054,254▼ -26.9%Census
198555,791▼ -24.8%Census
199055,877▼ -24.7%Census
199557,414▼ -22.6%Census
200060,726▼ -18.2%Census
200564,723▼ -12.8%Census
201069,074▼ -6.9%Census
201572,902▼ -1.7%Census
202074,196—Census
202574,435▲ +0.3%Census
203075,395▲ +1.6%Projection
203575,204▲ +1.4%Projection
204074,614▲ +0.6%Projection
204573,636▼ -0.8%Projection
205072,385▼ -2.4%Projection

About Tosu

Overview

Tosu (鳥栖市) is a municipality in Saga, Japan, with a population of 74,435 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tosu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tosu's population is expected to reach 75,395 by 2030 (+1.6%), 74,614 by 2040 (+0.6%), and 72,385 by 2050 (-2.4%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Tosu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 24.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 33.6% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Tosu's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1762 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1699 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #521 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Saga

Saga (佐賀県)的收入水平: Saga (佐賀県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tosu, Saga?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tosu has a population of 74,435.
Q.What is the population of Tosu in 2026?
A.Tosu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 74,627. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (74,435) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (75,395).
Q.What is the projected population of Tosu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tosu's population is expected to be 75,395 in 2030, 74,614 in 2040, and 72,385 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tosu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tosu's population is projected to change by -2.4%. The 10-year change is +1.6% and the 20-year change is +0.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Tosu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tosu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 24.4% to 33.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tosu?
A.Tosu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 24.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 33.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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