日本人口减少模拟器

Oita大分県

Kitsuki 杵築市

Data last updated:

Kitsuki, Oita, Japan has a population of 25,219 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 23,291 by 2030 and 16,456 by 2050 (a decrease of about 41.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 38.2% in 2020 to 50.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

25,219人

2030年

(预测)

23,291人

▼ -16.8%

2040年

(预测)

19,761人

▼ -29.4%

2050年

(预测)

16,456人

▼ -41.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 38.2%→2050年 50.3%

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岁

Oita (大分県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Kitsuki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198035,066▲ +25.2%Census
198534,816▲ +24.3%Census
199034,095▲ +21.8%Census
199533,370▲ +19.2%Census
200033,363▲ +19.2%Census
200533,567▲ +19.9%Census
201032,083▲ +14.6%Census
201530,185▲ +7.8%Census
202027,999—Census
202525,219▼ -9.9%Census
203023,291▼ -16.8%Projection
203521,496▼ -23.2%Projection
204019,761▼ -29.4%Projection
204518,074▼ -35.4%Projection
205016,456▼ -41.2%Projection

About Kitsuki

Overview

Kitsuki (杵築市) is a municipality in Oita, Japan, with a population of 25,219 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kitsuki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kitsuki's population is expected to reach 23,291 by 2030 (-16.8%), 19,761 by 2040 (-29.4%), and 16,456 by 2050 (-41.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kitsuki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 38.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 50.3% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kitsuki is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #675 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #545 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #989 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Oita

Oita (大分県)的收入水平: Oita (大分県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kitsuki, Oita?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kitsuki has a population of 25,219.
Q.What is the population of Kitsuki in 2026?
A.Kitsuki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 24,833. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (25,219) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (23,291).
Q.What is the projected population of Kitsuki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kitsuki's population is expected to be 23,291 in 2030, 19,761 in 2040, and 16,456 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kitsuki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kitsuki's population is projected to change by -41.2%. The 10-year change is -16.8% and the 20-year change is -29.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Kitsuki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kitsuki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 38.2% to 50.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kitsuki?
A.Kitsuki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 38.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 50.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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