Japan Population Decline Simulator

Iwate岩手県

Toono 遠野市

Data last updated:

Toono, Iwate, Japan has a population of 22,625 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 20,386 by 2030 and 13,201 by 2050 (a decrease of about 48.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.5% in 2020 to 53.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

22,625

2030

(Projection)

20,386

▼ -19.6%

2040

(Projection)

16,559

▼ -34.7%

2050

(Projection)

13,201

▼ -48.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 40.5%→2050 53.8%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Toono Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198037,382▲ +47.4%Census
198536,312▲ +43.2%Census
199034,923▲ +37.7%Census
199533,898▲ +33.6%Census
200033,108▲ +30.5%Census
200531,402▲ +23.8%Census
201029,331▲ +15.6%Census
201528,062▲ +10.6%Census
202025,366—Census
202522,625▼ -10.8%Census
203020,386▼ -19.6%Projection
203518,383▼ -27.5%Projection
204016,559▼ -34.7%Projection
204514,837▼ -41.5%Projection
205013,201▼ -48.0%Projection

About Toono

Overview

Toono (遠野市) is a municipality in Iwate, Japan, with a population of 22,625 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Toono

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Toono's population is expected to reach 20,386 by 2030 (-19.6%), 16,559 by 2040 (-34.7%), and 13,201 by 2050 (-48.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Toono

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 53.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Toono is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #408 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #334 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1030 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Iwate

Earnings in Iwate (岩手県): Average salary in Iwate (岩手県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Toono, Iwate?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Toono has a population of 22,625.
Q.What is the population of Toono in 2026?
A.Toono's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 22,177. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (22,625) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (20,386).
Q.What is the projected population of Toono in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Toono's population is expected to be 20,386 in 2030, 16,559 in 2040, and 13,201 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Toono?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Toono's population is projected to change by -48.0%. The 10-year change is -19.6% and the 20-year change is -34.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Toono declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Toono, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.5% to 53.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Toono?
A.Toono's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 53.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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