Japan Population Decline Simulator

Miyagi宮城県

Tomiya 富谷市

Data last updated:

Tomiya, Miyagi, Japan has a population of 51,709 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 51,287 by 2030 and 46,867 by 2050 (a decrease of about 9.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 21.6% in 2020 to 37.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

51,709

2030

(Projection)

51,287

▼ -0.7%

2040

(Projection)

49,407

▼ -4.3%

2050

(Projection)

46,867

▼ -9.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 21.6%→2050 37.9%

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Other municipalities in Miyagi (宮城県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tomiya Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198013,930▼ -73.0%Census
198518,053▼ -65.0%Census
199024,611▼ -52.4%Census
199530,224▼ -41.5%Census
200035,909▼ -30.5%Census
200541,593▼ -19.5%Census
201047,042▼ -8.9%Census
201551,591▼ -0.1%Census
202051,651—Census
202551,709▲ +0.1%Census
203051,287▼ -0.7%Projection
203550,393▼ -2.4%Projection
204049,407▼ -4.3%Projection
204548,297▼ -6.5%Projection
205046,867▼ -9.3%Projection

About Tomiya

Overview

Tomiya (富谷市) is a municipality in Miyagi, Japan, with a population of 51,709 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tomiya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tomiya's population is expected to reach 51,287 by 2030 (-0.7%), 49,407 by 2040 (-4.3%), and 46,867 by 2050 (-9.3%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Tomiya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 21.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 37.9% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Tomiya's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1632 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1408 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #664 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Miyagi

Earnings in Miyagi (宮城県): Average salary in Miyagi (宮城県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tomiya, Miyagi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tomiya has a population of 51,709.
Q.What is the population of Tomiya in 2026?
A.Tomiya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 51,625. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (51,709) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (51,287).
Q.What is the projected population of Tomiya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tomiya's population is expected to be 51,287 in 2030, 49,407 in 2040, and 46,867 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tomiya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tomiya's population is projected to change by -9.3%. The 10-year change is -0.7% and the 20-year change is -4.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Tomiya declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tomiya, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 21.6% to 37.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tomiya?
A.Tomiya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 21.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 37.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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