Japan Population Decline Simulator

Akita秋田県

Nikaho にかほ市

Data last updated:

Nikaho, Akita, Japan has a population of 21,166 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 19,453 by 2030 and 12,265 by 2050 (a decrease of about 47.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.0% in 2020 to 54.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

21,166

2030

(Projection)

19,453

▼ -17.0%

2040

(Projection)

15,689

▼ -33.1%

2050

(Projection)

12,265

▼ -47.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39%→2050 54%

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Other municipalities in Akita (秋田県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nikaho Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198031,428▲ +34.1%Census
198532,033▲ +36.7%Census
199031,838▲ +35.9%Census
199531,336▲ +33.7%Census
200030,347▲ +29.5%Census
200528,972▲ +23.6%Census
201027,544▲ +17.5%Census
201525,324▲ +8.1%Census
202023,435—Census
202521,166▼ -9.7%Census
203019,453▼ -17.0%Projection
203517,509▼ -25.3%Projection
204015,689▼ -33.1%Projection
204513,927▼ -40.6%Projection
205012,265▼ -47.7%Projection

About Nikaho

Overview

Nikaho (にかほ市) is a municipality in Akita, Japan, with a population of 21,166 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nikaho

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nikaho's population is expected to reach 19,453 by 2030 (-17.0%), 15,689 by 2040 (-33.1%), and 12,265 by 2050 (-47.7%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nikaho

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 54.0% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nikaho is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #419 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #325 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1056 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Akita

Earnings in Akita (秋田県): Average salary in Akita (秋田県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nikaho, Akita?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nikaho has a population of 21,166.
Q.What is the population of Nikaho in 2026?
A.Nikaho's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 20,823. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (21,166) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (19,453).
Q.What is the projected population of Nikaho in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nikaho's population is expected to be 19,453 in 2030, 15,689 in 2040, and 12,265 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nikaho?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nikaho's population is projected to change by -47.7%. The 10-year change is -17.0% and the 20-year change is -33.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Nikaho declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nikaho, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.0% to 54.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nikaho?
A.Nikaho's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 54.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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