Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukushima福島県

Nakajima 中島村

Data last updated:

Nakajima, Fukushima, Japan has a population of 4,500 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 4,469 by 2030 and 3,535 by 2050 (a decrease of about 27.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.3% in 2020 to 44.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

4,500

2030

(Projection)

4,469

▼ -8.5%

2040

(Projection)

4,024

▼ -17.6%

2050

(Projection)

3,535

▼ -27.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.3%→2050 44.6%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nakajima Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19804,448▼ -8.9%Census
19854,681▼ -4.2%Census
19904,885→ 0.0%Census
19955,128▲ +5.0%Census
20005,274▲ +8.0%Census
20055,174▲ +5.9%Census
20105,154▲ +5.5%Census
20155,001▲ +2.4%Census
20204,885—Census
20254,500▼ -7.9%Census
20304,469▼ -8.5%Projection
20354,248▼ -13.0%Projection
20404,024▼ -17.6%Projection
20453,782▼ -22.6%Projection
20503,535▼ -27.6%Projection

About Nakajima

Overview

Nakajima (中島村) is a municipality in Fukushima, Japan, with a population of 4,500 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nakajima

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nakajima's population is expected to reach 4,469 by 2030 (-8.5%), 4,024 by 2040 (-17.6%), and 3,535 by 2050 (-27.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nakajima

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nakajima's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1128 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #906 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1619 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukushima

Earnings in Fukushima (福島県): Average salary in Fukushima (福島県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nakajima, Fukushima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nakajima has a population of 4,500.
Q.What is the population of Nakajima in 2026?
A.Nakajima's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 4,494. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (4,500) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (4,469).
Q.What is the projected population of Nakajima in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nakajima's population is expected to be 4,469 in 2030, 4,024 in 2040, and 3,535 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nakajima?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nakajima's population is projected to change by -27.6%. The 10-year change is -8.5% and the 20-year change is -17.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Nakajima declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nakajima, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.3% to 44.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nakajima?
A.Nakajima's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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