Japan Population Decline Simulator

Saitama埼玉県

Minami さいたま市南区

Data last updated:

Minami, Saitama, Japan has a population of 196,185 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 198,109 by 2030 and 197,229 by 2050 (an increase of about 3.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 19.5% in 2020 to 28.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

196,185

2030

(Projection)

198,109

▲ +3.4%

2040

(Projection)

199,796

▲ +4.3%

2050

(Projection)

197,229

▲ +3.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 19.5%→2050 28.8%

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Other municipalities in Saitama (埼玉県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Minami Population Table (2005–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
2005166,674▼ -13.0%Census
2010174,988▼ -8.7%Census
2015180,152▼ -6.0%Census
2020191,563—Census
2025196,185▲ +2.4%Census
2030198,109▲ +3.4%Projection
2035199,490▲ +4.1%Projection
2040199,796▲ +4.3%Projection
2045198,992▲ +3.9%Projection
2050197,229▲ +3.0%Projection

About Minami

Overview

Minami (さいたま市南区) is a municipality in Saitama, Japan, with a population of 196,185 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Minami

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minami's population is expected to reach 198,109 by 2030 (+3.4%), 199,796 by 2040 (+4.3%), and 197,229 by 2050 (+3.0%). Minami is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Minami

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 19.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 28.8% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Minami's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1839 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1853 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #183 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Saitama

Earnings in Saitama (埼玉県): Average salary in Saitama (埼玉県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minami, Saitama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Minami has a population of 196,185.
Q.What is the population of Minami in 2026?
A.Minami's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 196,570. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (196,185) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (198,109).
Q.What is the projected population of Minami in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minami's population is expected to be 198,109 in 2030, 199,796 in 2040, and 197,229 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minami?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minami's population is projected to change by +3.0%. The 10-year change is +3.4% and the 20-year change is +4.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Minami growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Minami is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minami?
A.Minami's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 19.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 28.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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