Japan Population Decline Simulator

Chiba千葉県

Mobara 茂原市

Data last updated:

Mobara, Chiba, Japan has a population of 83,571 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 80,284 by 2030 and 63,935 by 2050 (a decrease of about 26.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 33.6% in 2020 to 45.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

83,571

2030

(Projection)

80,284

▼ -7.5%

2040

(Projection)

72,300

▼ -16.7%

2050

(Projection)

63,935

▼ -26.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 33.6%→2050 45.7%

Enter your age

See the population of 茂原市 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Chiba (千葉県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Mobara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198071,521▼ -17.6%Census
198576,929▼ -11.4%Census
199083,437▼ -3.9%Census
199591,664▲ +5.6%Census
200093,779▲ +8.1%Census
200593,260▲ +7.5%Census
201093,015▲ +7.2%Census
201589,688▲ +3.3%Census
202086,782—Census
202583,571▼ -3.7%Census
203080,284▼ -7.5%Projection
203576,439▼ -11.9%Projection
204072,300▼ -16.7%Projection
204568,047▼ -21.6%Projection
205063,935▼ -26.3%Projection

About Mobara

Overview

Mobara (茂原市) is a municipality in Chiba, Japan, with a population of 83,571 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Mobara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Mobara's population is expected to reach 80,284 by 2030 (-7.5%), 72,300 by 2040 (-16.7%), and 63,935 by 2050 (-26.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Mobara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 33.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 45.7% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Mobara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1163 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #842 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #479 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Chiba

Earnings in Chiba (千葉県): Average salary in Chiba (千葉県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Mobara, Chiba?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Mobara has a population of 83,571.
Q.What is the population of Mobara in 2026?
A.Mobara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 82,914. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (83,571) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (80,284).
Q.What is the projected population of Mobara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Mobara's population is expected to be 80,284 in 2030, 72,300 in 2040, and 63,935 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Mobara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Mobara's population is projected to change by -26.3%. The 10-year change is -7.5% and the 20-year change is -16.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Mobara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Mobara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 33.6% to 45.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Mobara?
A.Mobara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 33.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 45.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Chiba

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page