Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kanagawa神奈川県

Aoba 横浜市青葉区

Data last updated:

Aoba, Kanagawa, Japan has a population of 306,583 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 307,107 by 2030 and 291,334 by 2050 (a decrease of about 6.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 22.4% in 2020 to 36.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

306,583

2030

(Projection)

307,107

▼ -1.2%

2040

(Projection)

300,219

▼ -3.4%

2050

(Projection)

291,334

▼ -6.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 22.4%→2050 36.1%

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Other municipalities in Kanagawa (神奈川県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Aoba Population Table (1995–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1995248,960▼ -19.9%Census
2000270,044▼ -13.1%Census
2005295,603▼ -4.9%Census
2010304,297▼ -2.1%Census
2015309,692▼ -0.3%Census
2020310,756—Census
2025306,583▼ -1.3%Census
2030307,107▼ -1.2%Projection
2035303,992▼ -2.2%Projection
2040300,219▼ -3.4%Projection
2045295,840▼ -4.8%Projection
2050291,334▼ -6.2%Projection

About Aoba

Overview

Aoba (横浜市青葉区) is a municipality in Kanagawa, Japan, with a population of 306,583 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Aoba

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Aoba's population is expected to reach 307,107 by 2030 (-1.2%), 300,219 by 2040 (-3.4%), and 291,334 by 2050 (-6.2%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Aoba

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 22.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Aoba's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1690 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1542 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #85 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kanagawa

Earnings in Kanagawa (神奈川県): Average salary in Kanagawa (神奈川県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Aoba, Kanagawa?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Aoba has a population of 306,583.
Q.What is the population of Aoba in 2026?
A.Aoba's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 306,688. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (306,583) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (307,107).
Q.What is the projected population of Aoba in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Aoba's population is expected to be 307,107 in 2030, 300,219 in 2040, and 291,334 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Aoba?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Aoba's population is projected to change by -6.2%. The 10-year change is -1.2% and the 20-year change is -3.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Aoba declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Aoba, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 22.4% to 36.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Aoba?
A.Aoba's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 22.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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