Japan Population Decline Simulator

Shizuoka静岡県

Numazu 沼津市

Data last updated:

Numazu, Shizuoka, Japan has a population of 179,139 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 171,525 by 2030 and 131,634 by 2050 (a decrease of about 30.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 32.3% in 2020 to 44.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

179,139

2030

(Projection)

171,525

▼ -9.4%

2040

(Projection)

151,824

▼ -19.8%

2050

(Projection)

131,634

▼ -30.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 32.3%→2050 44.4%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Numazu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980208,708▲ +10.2%Census
1985215,360▲ +13.7%Census
1990216,213▲ +14.2%Census
1995216,470▲ +14.3%Census
2000211,559▲ +11.7%Census
2005208,005▲ +9.8%Census
2010202,304▲ +6.8%Census
2015195,633▲ +3.3%Census
2020189,386—Census
2025179,139▼ -5.4%Census
2030171,525▼ -9.4%Projection
2035161,839▼ -14.5%Projection
2040151,824▼ -19.8%Projection
2045141,707▼ -25.2%Projection
2050131,634▼ -30.5%Projection

About Numazu

Overview

Numazu (沼津市) is a municipality in Shizuoka, Japan, with a population of 179,139 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Numazu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Numazu's population is expected to reach 171,525 by 2030 (-9.4%), 151,824 by 2040 (-19.8%), and 131,634 by 2050 (-30.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Numazu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 32.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.4% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Numazu's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1039 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #920 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #211 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Shizuoka

Earnings in Shizuoka (静岡県): Average salary in Shizuoka (静岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Numazu, Shizuoka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Numazu has a population of 179,139.
Q.What is the population of Numazu in 2026?
A.Numazu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 177,616. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (179,139) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (171,525).
Q.What is the projected population of Numazu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Numazu's population is expected to be 171,525 in 2030, 151,824 in 2040, and 131,634 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Numazu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Numazu's population is projected to change by -30.5%. The 10-year change is -9.4% and the 20-year change is -19.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Numazu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Numazu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 32.3% to 44.4% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Numazu?
A.Numazu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 32.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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