Japan Population Decline Simulator

Mie三重県

Nabari 名張市

Data last updated:

Nabari, Mie, Japan has a population of 71,953 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 68,073 by 2030 and 50,394 by 2050 (a decrease of about 34.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 32.6% in 2020 to 45.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

71,953

2030

(Projection)

68,073

▼ -10.9%

2040

(Projection)

59,203

▼ -22.5%

2050

(Projection)

50,394

▼ -34.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 32.6%→2050 45.6%

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Other municipalities in Mie (三重県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nabari Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198044,488▼ -41.8%Census
198556,474▼ -26.1%Census
199068,933▼ -9.8%Census
199579,913▲ +4.6%Census
200083,291▲ +9.0%Census
200582,156▲ +7.6%Census
201080,284▲ +5.1%Census
201578,795▲ +3.2%Census
202076,387—Census
202571,953▼ -5.8%Census
203068,073▼ -10.9%Projection
203563,766▼ -16.5%Projection
204059,203▼ -22.5%Projection
204554,690▼ -28.4%Projection
205050,394▼ -34.0%Projection

About Nabari

Overview

Nabari (名張市) is a municipality in Mie, Japan, with a population of 71,953 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nabari

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nabari's population is expected to reach 68,073 by 2030 (-10.9%), 59,203 by 2040 (-22.5%), and 50,394 by 2050 (-34.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nabari

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 32.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 45.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nabari's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #925 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #848 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #534 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Mie

Earnings in Mie (三重県): Average salary in Mie (三重県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nabari, Mie?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nabari has a population of 71,953.
Q.What is the population of Nabari in 2026?
A.Nabari's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 71,177. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (71,953) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (68,073).
Q.What is the projected population of Nabari in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nabari's population is expected to be 68,073 in 2030, 59,203 in 2040, and 50,394 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nabari?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nabari's population is projected to change by -34.0%. The 10-year change is -10.9% and the 20-year change is -22.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Nabari declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nabari, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 32.6% to 45.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nabari?
A.Nabari's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 32.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 45.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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