Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kyoto京都府

Minami 京都市南区

Data last updated:

Minami, Kyoto, Japan has a population of 102,653 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 101,079 by 2030 and 92,674 by 2050 (a decrease of about 9.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 25.8% in 2020 to 33.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

102,653

2030

(Projection)

101,079

▼ -0.9%

2040

(Projection)

97,768

▼ -4.1%

2050

(Projection)

92,674

▼ -9.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 25.8%→2050 33.7%

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Other municipalities in Kyoto (京都府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Minami Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980101,713▼ -0.3%Census
1985101,206▼ -0.7%Census
199098,962▼ -2.9%Census
199598,905▼ -3.0%Census
200097,820▼ -4.1%Census
200598,193▼ -3.7%Census
201098,744▼ -3.2%Census
201599,927▼ -2.0%Census
2020101,970—Census
2025102,653▲ +0.7%Census
2030101,079▼ -0.9%Projection
203599,732▼ -2.2%Projection
204097,768▼ -4.1%Projection
204595,367▼ -6.5%Projection
205092,674▼ -9.1%Projection

About Minami

Overview

Minami (京都市南区) is a municipality in Kyoto, Japan, with a population of 102,653 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Minami

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minami's population is expected to reach 101,079 by 2030 (-0.9%), 97,768 by 2040 (-4.1%), and 92,674 by 2050 (-9.1%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Minami

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 25.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 33.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Minami's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1637 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1691 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #410 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kyoto

Earnings in Kyoto (京都府): Average salary in Kyoto (京都府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minami, Kyoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Minami has a population of 102,653.
Q.What is the population of Minami in 2026?
A.Minami's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 102,338. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (102,653) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (101,079).
Q.What is the projected population of Minami in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minami's population is expected to be 101,079 in 2030, 97,768 in 2040, and 92,674 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minami?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minami's population is projected to change by -9.1%. The 10-year change is -0.9% and the 20-year change is -4.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Minami declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Minami, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 25.8% to 33.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minami?
A.Minami's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 25.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 33.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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