Japan Population Decline Simulator

Shimane島根県

Chibu 知夫村

Data last updated:

Chibu, Shimane, Japan has a population of 574 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 547 by 2030 and 462 by 2050 (a decrease of about 27.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 44.8% in 2020 to 40.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

574

2030Projection

547

▼ -13.7%

2040Projection

492

▼ -22.4%

2050Projection

462

▼ -27.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 44.8%→2050 40.3%

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Other municipalities in Shimane (島根県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Chibu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19801,068▲ +68.5%Census
1985941▲ +48.4%Census
1990855▲ +34.9%Census
1995802▲ +26.5%Census
2000718▲ +13.2%Census
2005725▲ +14.4%Census
2010657▲ +3.6%Census
2015615▼ -3.0%Census
2020634—Census
2025574▼ -9.5%Census
2030547▼ -13.7%Projection
2035520▼ -18.0%Projection
2040492▼ -22.4%Projection
2045475▼ -25.1%Projection
2050462▼ -27.1%Projection

About Chibu

Overview

Chibu (知夫村) is a municipality in Shimane, Japan, with a population of 574 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Chibu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Chibu's population is expected to reach 547 by 2030 (-13.7%), 492 by 2040 (-22.4%), and 462 by 2050 (-27.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Chibu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 44.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.3% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Chibu's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1143 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1229 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1899 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Shimane

Earnings in Shimane (島根県): Average salary in Shimane (島根県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Chibu, Shimane?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Chibu has a population of 574.
Q.What is the population of Chibu in 2026?
A.Chibu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 569. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (574) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (547).
Q.What is the projected population of Chibu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Chibu's population is expected to be 547 in 2030, 492 in 2040, and 462 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Chibu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Chibu's population is projected to change by -27.1%. The 10-year change is -13.7% and the 20-year change is -22.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Chibu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Chibu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 44.8% to 40.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Chibu?
A.Chibu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 44.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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