Japan Population Decline Simulator

Saga佐賀県

Kashima 鹿島市

Data last updated:

Kashima, Saga, Japan has a population of 26,126 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 24,175 by 2030 and 17,646 by 2050 (a decrease of about 36.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 32.8% in 2020 to 43.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

26,126

2030Projection

24,175

▼ -13.3%

2040Projection

20,856

▼ -25.2%

2050Projection

17,646

▼ -36.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 32.8%→2050 43.6%

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Other municipalities in Saga (佐賀県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kashima Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198035,006▲ +25.5%Census
198534,714▲ +24.5%Census
199034,336▲ +23.1%Census
199534,083▲ +22.2%Census
200033,215▲ +19.1%Census
200532,117▲ +15.1%Census
201030,720▲ +10.1%Census
201529,684▲ +6.4%Census
202027,892—Census
202526,126▼ -6.3%Census
203024,175▼ -13.3%Projection
203522,475▼ -19.4%Projection
204020,856▼ -25.2%Projection
204519,226▼ -31.1%Projection
205017,646▼ -36.7%Projection

About Kashima

Overview

Kashima (鹿島市) is a municipality in Saga, Japan, with a population of 26,126 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kashima

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kashima's population is expected to reach 24,175 by 2030 (-13.3%), 20,856 by 2040 (-25.2%), and 17,646 by 2050 (-36.7%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kashima

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 32.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kashima's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #833 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #977 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #972 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Saga

Earnings in Saga (佐賀県): Average salary in Saga (佐賀県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kashima, Saga?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kashima has a population of 26,126.
Q.What is the population of Kashima in 2026?
A.Kashima's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 25,736. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (26,126) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (24,175).
Q.What is the projected population of Kashima in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kashima's population is expected to be 24,175 in 2030, 20,856 in 2040, and 17,646 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kashima?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kashima's population is projected to change by -36.7%. The 10-year change is -13.3% and the 20-year change is -25.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Kashima declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kashima, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 32.8% to 43.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kashima?
A.Kashima's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 32.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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