日本人口减少模拟器

Hokkaido北海道

Toubetsu 当別町

Data last updated:

Toubetsu, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 14,933 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 13,457 by 2030 and 9,106 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.0% in 2020 to 53.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

14,933人

2030年

(预测)

13,457人

▼ -15.4%

2040年

(预测)

11,381人

▼ -28.5%

2050年

(预测)

9,106人

▼ -42.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 35%→2050年 53.8%

请输入您的年龄

输入年龄,即可查看您50、60、70、80岁时当別町的人口。

岁

Hokkaido (北海道)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Toubetsu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198017,316▲ +8.8%Census
198516,507▲ +3.7%Census
199015,825▼ -0.6%Census
199519,672▲ +23.6%Census
200020,778▲ +30.5%Census
200519,982▲ +25.5%Census
201018,766▲ +17.9%Census
201517,278▲ +8.6%Census
202015,916—Census
202514,933▼ -6.2%Census
203013,457▼ -15.4%Projection
203512,407▼ -22.0%Projection
204011,381▼ -28.5%Projection
204510,231▼ -35.7%Projection
20509,106▼ -42.8%Projection

About Toubetsu

Overview

Toubetsu (当別町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 14,933 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Toubetsu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Toubetsu's population is expected to reach 13,457 by 2030 (-15.4%), 11,381 by 2040 (-28.5%), and 9,106 by 2050 (-42.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Toubetsu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 53.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Toubetsu is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #610 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #333 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1185 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Hokkaido (北海道)的收入水平: Hokkaido (北海道)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Toubetsu, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Toubetsu has a population of 14,933.
Q.What is the population of Toubetsu in 2026?
A.Toubetsu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 14,638. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (14,933) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (13,457).
Q.What is the projected population of Toubetsu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Toubetsu's population is expected to be 13,457 in 2030, 11,381 in 2040, and 9,106 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Toubetsu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Toubetsu's population is projected to change by -42.8%. The 10-year change is -15.4% and the 20-year change is -28.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Toubetsu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Toubetsu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.0% to 53.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Toubetsu?
A.Toubetsu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 53.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Hokkaido

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page