日本人口减少模拟器

Nagano長野県

Tatsuno 辰野町

Data last updated:

Tatsuno, Nagano, Japan has a population of 17,037 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 16,008 by 2030 and 11,518 by 2050 (a decrease of about 37.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 37.7% in 2020 to 46.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

17,037人

2030年

(预测)

16,008人

▼ -13.7%

2040年

(预测)

13,672人

▼ -26.3%

2050年

(预测)

11,518人

▼ -37.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 37.7%→2050年 46.3%

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岁

Nagano (長野県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Tatsuno Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198023,894▲ +28.8%Census
198523,935▲ +29.0%Census
199023,901▲ +28.8%Census
199523,193▲ +25.0%Census
200022,407▲ +20.8%Census
200521,801▲ +17.5%Census
201020,909▲ +12.7%Census
201519,770▲ +6.5%Census
202018,555—Census
202517,037▼ -8.2%Census
203016,008▼ -13.7%Projection
203514,828▼ -20.1%Projection
204013,672▼ -26.3%Projection
204512,567▼ -32.3%Projection
205011,518▼ -37.9%Projection

About Tatsuno

Overview

Tatsuno (辰野町) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 17,037 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tatsuno

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tatsuno's population is expected to reach 16,008 by 2030 (-13.7%), 13,672 by 2040 (-26.3%), and 11,518 by 2050 (-37.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tatsuno

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 37.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.3% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Tatsuno's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #794 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #803 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1137 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Nagano (長野県)的收入水平: Nagano (長野県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tatsuno, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tatsuno has a population of 17,037.
Q.What is the population of Tatsuno in 2026?
A.Tatsuno's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 16,831. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (17,037) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (16,008).
Q.What is the projected population of Tatsuno in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tatsuno's population is expected to be 16,008 in 2030, 13,672 in 2040, and 11,518 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tatsuno?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tatsuno's population is projected to change by -37.9%. The 10-year change is -13.7% and the 20-year change is -26.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Tatsuno declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tatsuno, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 37.7% to 46.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tatsuno?
A.Tatsuno's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 37.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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