日本人口减少模拟器

Nara奈良県

Shimokitayama 下北山村

Data last updated:

Shimokitayama, Nara, Japan has a population of 701 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 589 by 2030 and 337 by 2050 (a decrease of about 55.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 48.6% in 2020 to 62.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

701人

2030年

(预测)

589人

▼ -21.8%

2040年

(预测)

451人

▼ -40.1%

2050年

(预测)

337人

▼ -55.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 48.6%→2050年 62.3%

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输入年龄,即可查看您50、60、70、80岁时下北山村的人口。

岁

Nara (奈良県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Shimokitayama Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19801,800▲ +139.0%Census
19851,589▲ +111.0%Census
19901,514▲ +101.1%Census
19951,370▲ +81.9%Census
20001,292▲ +71.6%Census
20051,212▲ +61.0%Census
20101,039▲ +38.0%Census
2015895▲ +18.9%Census
2020753—Census
2025701▼ -6.9%Census
2030589▼ -21.8%Projection
2035516▼ -31.5%Projection
2040451▼ -40.1%Projection
2045397▼ -47.3%Projection
2050337▼ -55.2%Projection

About Shimokitayama

Overview

Shimokitayama (下北山村) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 701 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Shimokitayama

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shimokitayama's population is expected to reach 589 by 2030 (-21.8%), 451 by 2040 (-40.1%), and 337 by 2050 (-55.2%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Shimokitayama

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 48.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 62.3% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Shimokitayama is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #166 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #65 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1890 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Nara (奈良県)的收入水平: Nara (奈良県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shimokitayama, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Shimokitayama has a population of 701.
Q.What is the population of Shimokitayama in 2026?
A.Shimokitayama's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 679. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (701) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (589).
Q.What is the projected population of Shimokitayama in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shimokitayama's population is expected to be 589 in 2030, 451 in 2040, and 337 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shimokitayama?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shimokitayama's population is projected to change by -55.2%. The 10-year change is -21.8% and the 20-year change is -40.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Shimokitayama declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shimokitayama, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 48.6% to 62.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shimokitayama?
A.Shimokitayama's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 48.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 62.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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