日本人口减少模拟器

Wakayama和歌山県

Kainan 海南市

Data last updated:

Kainan, Wakayama, Japan has a population of 43,853 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 41,022 by 2030 and 28,027 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.9% in 2020 to 48.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

43,853人

2030年

(预测)

41,022人

▼ -15.2%

2040年

(预测)

34,160人

▼ -29.4%

2050年

(预测)

28,027人

▼ -42.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 36.9%→2050年 48.6%

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岁

Wakayama (和歌山県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Kainan Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198069,942▲ +44.6%Census
198567,218▲ +39.0%Census
199064,390▲ +33.1%Census
199562,634▲ +29.5%Census
200060,373▲ +24.8%Census
200557,744▲ +19.4%Census
201054,783▲ +13.3%Census
201551,860▲ +7.2%Census
202048,369—Census
202543,853▼ -9.3%Census
203041,022▼ -15.2%Projection
203537,530▼ -22.4%Projection
204034,160▼ -29.4%Projection
204531,001▼ -35.9%Projection
205028,027▼ -42.1%Projection

About Kainan

Overview

Kainan (海南市) is a municipality in Wakayama, Japan, with a population of 43,853 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kainan

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kainan's population is expected to reach 41,022 by 2030 (-15.2%), 34,160 by 2040 (-29.4%), and 28,027 by 2050 (-42.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kainan

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 48.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kainan is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #652 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #657 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #739 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Wakayama

Wakayama (和歌山県)的收入水平: Wakayama (和歌山県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kainan, Wakayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kainan has a population of 43,853.
Q.What is the population of Kainan in 2026?
A.Kainan's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 43,287. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (43,853) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (41,022).
Q.What is the projected population of Kainan in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kainan's population is expected to be 41,022 in 2030, 34,160 in 2040, and 28,027 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kainan?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kainan's population is projected to change by -42.1%. The 10-year change is -15.2% and the 20-year change is -29.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Kainan declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kainan, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.9% to 48.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kainan?
A.Kainan's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 48.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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