日本人口减少模拟器

Wakayama和歌山県

Tanabe 田辺市

Data last updated:

Tanabe, Wakayama, Japan has a population of 64,288 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 59,951 by 2030 and 42,309 by 2050 (a decrease of about 39.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.0% in 2020 to 48.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年

(实际)

64,288人

2030年

(预测)

59,951人

▼ -14.2%

2040年

(预测)

50,906人

▼ -27.1%

2050年

(预测)

42,309人

▼ -39.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 34%→2050年 48.8%

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岁

Wakayama (和歌山県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Tanabe Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198088,130▲ +26.1%Census
198588,263▲ +26.3%Census
199086,143▲ +23.3%Census
199586,159▲ +23.3%Census
200085,646▲ +22.6%Census
200582,499▲ +18.1%Census
201079,119▲ +13.2%Census
201574,770▲ +7.0%Census
202069,870—Census
202564,288▼ -8.0%Census
203059,951▼ -14.2%Projection
203555,365▼ -20.8%Projection
204050,906▼ -27.1%Projection
204546,553▼ -33.4%Projection
205042,309▼ -39.4%Projection

About Tanabe

Overview

Tanabe (田辺市) is a municipality in Wakayama, Japan, with a population of 64,288 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tanabe

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tanabe's population is expected to reach 59,951 by 2030 (-14.2%), 50,906 by 2040 (-27.1%), and 42,309 by 2050 (-39.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tanabe

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 48.8% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Tanabe's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #743 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #646 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #583 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Wakayama

Wakayama (和歌山県)的收入水平: Wakayama (和歌山県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tanabe, Wakayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tanabe has a population of 64,288.
Q.What is the population of Tanabe in 2026?
A.Tanabe's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 63,421. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (64,288) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (59,951).
Q.What is the projected population of Tanabe in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tanabe's population is expected to be 59,951 in 2030, 50,906 in 2040, and 42,309 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tanabe?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tanabe's population is projected to change by -39.4%. The 10-year change is -14.2% and the 20-year change is -27.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Tanabe declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tanabe, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.0% to 48.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tanabe?
A.Tanabe's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 48.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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