日本人口减少模拟器

Hiroshima広島県

Takehara 竹原市

Data last updated:

Takehara, Hiroshima, Japan has a population of 24,017 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 19,265 by 2030 and 11,636 by 2050 (a decrease of about 51.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 42.1% to 56.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020年

(实际)

24,017人

2030年

(预测)

19,265人

▼ -19.8%

2040年

(预测)

15,160人

▼ -36.9%

2050年

(预测)

11,636人

▼ -51.6%

老龄化率（65岁以上）: 2020年 42.1%→2050年 56.1%

Hiroshima (広島県)的其他市区町村

Hiroshima広島市Mashinaka広島市中区Mashihigashi広島市東区Mashiminami広島市南区Mashinishi広島市西区Mashiasaminami広島市安佐南区Mashiasakita広島市安佐北区Mashiaki広島市安芸区Mashisaeki広島市佐伯区Kure呉市Mihara三原市Onomichi尾道市Fukuyama福山市Fuchuu府中市Miyoshi三次市Shoubara庄原市Ootake大竹市Higashihiroshima東広島市Hatsukaichi廿日市市Akitakata安芸高田市
查看Hiroshima (広島県)的所有市区町村 →

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口（令和5年推计）」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能，但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Takehara Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202024,017—Census
202521,410▼ -10.9%Projection
203019,265▼ -19.8%Projection
203517,183▼ -28.5%Projection
204015,160▼ -36.9%Projection
204513,294▼ -44.6%Projection
205011,636▼ -51.6%Projection

About Takehara

Overview

Takehara (竹原市) is a municipality in Hiroshima, Japan, with a population of 24,017 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Takehara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Takehara's population is expected to reach 19,265 by 2030 (-19.8%), 15,160 by 2040 (-36.9%), and 11,636 by 2050 (-51.6%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Takehara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 42.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 56.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Takehara is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #277 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #234 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1039 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hiroshima

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Takehara, Hiroshima?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Takehara has a population of 24,017.
Q.What is the population of Takehara in 2026?
A.Takehara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 20,981. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (24,017) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (19,265).
Q.What is the projected population of Takehara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Takehara's population is expected to be 19,265 in 2030, 15,160 in 2040, and 11,636 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Takehara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Takehara's population is projected to change by -51.6%. The 10-year change is -19.8% and the 20-year change is -36.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Takehara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Takehara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 42.1% to 56.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Takehara?
A.Takehara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 42.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 56.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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