日本人口减少模拟器

Hiroshima広島県

Shoubara 庄原市

Data last updated:

Shoubara, Hiroshima, Japan has a population of 29,598 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 27,078 by 2030 and 17,950 by 2050 (a decrease of about 46.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 43.4% in 2020 to 48.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025年实际

29,598人

2030年预测

27,078人

▼ -19.5%

2040年预测

22,175人

▼ -34.1%

2050年预测

17,950人

▼ -46.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

老龄化率(65岁以上): 2020年 43.4%→2050年 48.1%

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Hiroshima (広島県)的其他市区町村

数据来源

  • 日本政府统计综合窗口(e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • 国立社会保障・人口问题研究所「日本地区别未来推计人口(令和5年推计)」

※本服务使用e-Stat的API功能,但服务内容不受日本政府保证。

Shoubara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198053,506▲ +59.1%Census
198552,157▲ +55.1%Census
199050,624▲ +50.5%Census
199548,539▲ +44.3%Census
200045,678▲ +35.8%Census
200543,149▲ +28.3%Census
201040,244▲ +19.7%Census
201537,000▲ +10.0%Census
202033,633—Census
202529,598▼ -12.0%Census
203027,078▼ -19.5%Projection
203524,534▼ -27.1%Projection
204022,175▼ -34.1%Projection
204519,951▼ -40.7%Projection
205017,950▼ -46.6%Projection

About Shoubara

Overview

Shoubara (庄原市) is a municipality in Hiroshima, Japan, with a population of 29,598 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Shoubara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shoubara's population is expected to reach 27,078 by 2030 (-19.5%), 22,175 by 2040 (-34.1%), and 17,950 by 2050 (-46.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Shoubara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 43.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 48.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Shoubara is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #464 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #682 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #918 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hiroshima

Hiroshima (広島県)的收入水平: Hiroshima (広島県)的平均年收入(按年龄、性别、企业规模)jpsalary / 厚生劳动省 工资结构基本统计调查

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shoubara, Hiroshima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Shoubara has a population of 29,598.
Q.What is the population of Shoubara in 2026?
A.Shoubara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 29,094. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (29,598) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (27,078).
Q.What is the projected population of Shoubara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shoubara's population is expected to be 27,078 in 2030, 22,175 in 2040, and 17,950 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shoubara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shoubara's population is projected to change by -46.6%. The 10-year change is -19.5% and the 20-year change is -34.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Shoubara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shoubara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 43.4% to 48.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shoubara?
A.Shoubara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 43.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 48.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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