Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aomori青森県

Goshogawara 五所川原市

Data last updated:

Goshogawara, Aomori, Japan has a population of 47,462 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 43,398 by 2030 and 28,029 by 2050 (a decrease of about 45.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.9% in 2020 to 53.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

47,462

2030

(Projection)

43,398

▼ -15.6%

2040

(Projection)

35,528

▼ -30.9%

2050

(Projection)

28,029

▼ -45.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.9%→2050 53.9%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Goshogawara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198068,738▲ +33.7%Census
198567,033▲ +30.4%Census
199063,843▲ +24.2%Census
199563,383▲ +23.3%Census
200063,208▲ +22.9%Census
200562,181▲ +20.9%Census
201058,421▲ +13.6%Census
201555,181▲ +7.3%Census
202051,415—Census
202547,462▼ -7.7%Census
203043,398▼ -15.6%Projection
203539,410▼ -23.3%Projection
204035,528▼ -30.9%Projection
204531,740▼ -38.3%Projection
205028,029▼ -45.5%Projection

About Goshogawara

Overview

Goshogawara (五所川原市) is a municipality in Aomori, Japan, with a population of 47,462 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Goshogawara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Goshogawara's population is expected to reach 43,398 by 2030 (-15.6%), 35,528 by 2040 (-30.9%), and 28,029 by 2050 (-45.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Goshogawara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 53.9% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Goshogawara is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #510 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #329 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #700 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aomori

Earnings in Aomori (青森県): Average salary in Aomori (青森県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Goshogawara, Aomori?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Goshogawara has a population of 47,462.
Q.What is the population of Goshogawara in 2026?
A.Goshogawara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 46,649. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (47,462) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (43,398).
Q.What is the projected population of Goshogawara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Goshogawara's population is expected to be 43,398 in 2030, 35,528 in 2040, and 28,029 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Goshogawara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Goshogawara's population is projected to change by -45.5%. The 10-year change is -15.6% and the 20-year change is -30.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Goshogawara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Goshogawara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.9% to 53.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Goshogawara?
A.Goshogawara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 53.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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