Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aomori青森県

Hirakawa 平川市

Data last updated:

Hirakawa, Aomori, Japan has a population of 28,708 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 26,476 by 2030 and 18,103 by 2050 (a decrease of about 40.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.3% in 2020 to 50.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

28,708

2030

(Projection)

26,476

▼ -13.4%

2040

(Projection)

22,195

▼ -27.4%

2050

(Projection)

18,103

▼ -40.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.3%→2050 50%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Hirakawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198038,979▲ +27.5%Census
198538,932▲ +27.4%Census
199037,948▲ +24.1%Census
199536,876▲ +20.6%Census
200036,454▲ +19.3%Census
200535,336▲ +15.6%Census
201033,764▲ +10.5%Census
201532,106▲ +5.0%Census
202030,567—Census
202528,708▼ -6.1%Census
203026,476▼ -13.4%Projection
203524,319▼ -20.4%Projection
204022,195▼ -27.4%Projection
204520,103▼ -34.2%Projection
205018,103▼ -40.8%Projection

About Hirakawa

Overview

Hirakawa (平川市) is a municipality in Aomori, Japan, with a population of 28,708 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Hirakawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Hirakawa's population is expected to reach 26,476 by 2030 (-13.4%), 22,195 by 2040 (-27.4%), and 18,103 by 2050 (-40.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Hirakawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 50.0% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Hirakawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #688 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #557 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #932 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aomori

Earnings in Aomori (青森県): Average salary in Aomori (青森県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Hirakawa, Aomori?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Hirakawa has a population of 28,708.
Q.What is the population of Hirakawa in 2026?
A.Hirakawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 28,262. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (28,708) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (26,476).
Q.What is the projected population of Hirakawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Hirakawa's population is expected to be 26,476 in 2030, 22,195 in 2040, and 18,103 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Hirakawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Hirakawa's population is projected to change by -40.8%. The 10-year change is -13.4% and the 20-year change is -27.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Hirakawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Hirakawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.3% to 50.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Hirakawa?
A.Hirakawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 50.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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