Japan Population Decline Simulator

Iwate岩手県

Karumai 軽米町

Data last updated:

Karumai, Iwate, Japan has a population of 8,423 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 6,782 by 2030 and 4,007 by 2050 (a decrease of about 52.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 41.8% to 56.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

8,423

2030

(Projection)

6,782

-19.5%

2040

(Projection)

5,333

-36.7%

2050

(Projection)

4,007

-52.4%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 41.8%2050 56%

Other municipalities in Iwate (岩手県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

About Karumai

Overview

Karumai (軽米町) is a municipality in Iwate, Japan, with a population of 8,423 as of 2020.

Population Projection

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Karumai's population is expected to reach 6,782 by 2030 (-19.5%), 5,333 by 2040 (-36.7%), and 4,007 by 2050 (-52.4%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Outlook

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 41.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 56.0% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Karumai is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #251 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #238 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1441 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Karumai, Iwate?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Karumai has a population of 8,423.
Q.What is the projected population of Karumai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Karumai's population is expected to be 6,782 in 2030, 5,333 in 2040, and 4,007 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Karumai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Karumai's population is projected to change by -52.4%. The 10-year change is -19.5% and the 20-year change is -36.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Karumai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Karumai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 41.8% to 56.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Karumai?
A.Karumai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 41.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 56.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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