Japan Population Decline Simulator

Miyagi宮城県

Oogawara 大河原町

Data last updated:

Oogawara, Miyagi, Japan has a population of 22,906 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 22,722 by 2030 and 19,966 by 2050 (a decrease of about 15.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 27.8% in 2020 to 39.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

22,906

2030

(Projection)

22,722

▼ -3.6%

2040

(Projection)

21,528

▼ -8.7%

2050

(Projection)

19,966

▼ -15.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 27.8%→2050 39.2%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Oogawara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198019,332▼ -18.0%Census
198520,305▼ -13.9%Census
199020,901▼ -11.3%Census
199521,995▼ -6.7%Census
200022,767▼ -3.4%Census
200523,335▼ -1.0%Census
201023,530▼ -0.2%Census
201523,798▲ +1.0%Census
202023,571—Census
202522,906▼ -2.8%Census
203022,722▼ -3.6%Projection
203522,165▼ -6.0%Projection
204021,528▼ -8.7%Projection
204520,788▼ -11.8%Projection
205019,966▼ -15.3%Projection

About Oogawara

Overview

Oogawara (大河原町) is a municipality in Miyagi, Japan, with a population of 22,906 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Oogawara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Oogawara's population is expected to reach 22,722 by 2030 (-3.6%), 21,528 by 2040 (-8.7%), and 19,966 by 2050 (-15.3%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Oogawara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 27.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.2% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Oogawara's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1472 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1319 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1027 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Miyagi

Earnings in Miyagi (宮城県): Average salary in Miyagi (宮城県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Oogawara, Miyagi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Oogawara has a population of 22,906.
Q.What is the population of Oogawara in 2026?
A.Oogawara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 22,869. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (22,906) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (22,722).
Q.What is the projected population of Oogawara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Oogawara's population is expected to be 22,722 in 2030, 21,528 in 2040, and 19,966 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Oogawara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Oogawara's population is projected to change by -15.3%. The 10-year change is -3.6% and the 20-year change is -8.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Oogawara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Oogawara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 27.8% to 39.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Oogawara?
A.Oogawara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 27.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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