Japan Population Decline Simulator

Ibaraki茨城県

Toride 取手市

Data last updated:

Toride, Ibaraki, Japan has a population of 103,381 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 96,897 by 2030 and 78,828 by 2050 (a decrease of about 24.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.8% in 2020 to 42.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

103,381

2030

(Projection)

96,897

▼ -7.3%

2040

(Projection)

86,995

▼ -16.8%

2050

(Projection)

78,828

▼ -24.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 34.8%→2050 42.3%

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Other municipalities in Ibaraki (茨城県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Toride Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198097,715▼ -6.5%Census
1985108,365▲ +3.7%Census
1990114,409▲ +9.5%Census
1995118,282▲ +13.2%Census
2000115,993▲ +11.0%Census
2005111,327▲ +6.5%Census
2010109,651▲ +4.9%Census
2015106,570▲ +2.0%Census
2020104,524—Census
2025103,381▼ -1.1%Census
203096,897▼ -7.3%Projection
203591,908▼ -12.1%Projection
204086,995▼ -16.8%Projection
204582,627▼ -20.9%Projection
205078,828▼ -24.6%Projection

About Toride

Overview

Toride (取手市) is a municipality in Ibaraki, Japan, with a population of 103,381 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Toride

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Toride's population is expected to reach 96,897 by 2030 (-7.3%), 86,995 by 2040 (-16.8%), and 78,828 by 2050 (-24.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Toride

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.3% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Toride's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1219 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1069 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #407 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Ibaraki

Earnings in Ibaraki (茨城県): Average salary in Ibaraki (茨城県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Toride, Ibaraki?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Toride has a population of 103,381.
Q.What is the population of Toride in 2026?
A.Toride's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 102,084. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (103,381) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (96,897).
Q.What is the projected population of Toride in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Toride's population is expected to be 96,897 in 2030, 86,995 in 2040, and 78,828 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Toride?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Toride's population is projected to change by -24.6%. The 10-year change is -7.3% and the 20-year change is -16.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Toride declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Toride, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.8% to 42.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Toride?
A.Toride's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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