Japan Population Decline Simulator

Ibaraki茨城県

Kitaibaraki 北茨城市

Data last updated:

Kitaibaraki, Ibaraki, Japan has a population of 38,386 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 36,023 by 2030 and 24,023 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.4% in 2020 to 49.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

38,386

2030

(Projection)

36,023

▼ -13.8%

2040

(Projection)

29,983

▼ -28.3%

2050

(Projection)

24,023

▼ -42.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 34.4%→2050 49.5%

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Other municipalities in Ibaraki (茨城県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kitaibaraki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198047,670▲ +14.0%Census
198551,035▲ +22.1%Census
199051,093▲ +22.2%Census
199552,074▲ +24.6%Census
200051,593▲ +23.4%Census
200549,645▲ +18.8%Census
201047,026▲ +12.5%Census
201544,412▲ +6.2%Census
202041,801—Census
202538,386▼ -8.2%Census
203036,023▼ -13.8%Projection
203533,031▼ -21.0%Projection
204029,983▼ -28.3%Projection
204526,959▼ -35.5%Projection
205024,023▼ -42.5%Projection

About Kitaibaraki

Overview

Kitaibaraki (北茨城市) is a municipality in Ibaraki, Japan, with a population of 38,386 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kitaibaraki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kitaibaraki's population is expected to reach 36,023 by 2030 (-13.8%), 29,983 by 2040 (-28.3%), and 24,023 by 2050 (-42.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kitaibaraki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 49.5% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kitaibaraki is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #630 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #590 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #796 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Ibaraki

Earnings in Ibaraki (茨城県): Average salary in Ibaraki (茨城県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kitaibaraki, Ibaraki?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kitaibaraki has a population of 38,386.
Q.What is the population of Kitaibaraki in 2026?
A.Kitaibaraki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 37,913. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (38,386) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (36,023).
Q.What is the projected population of Kitaibaraki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kitaibaraki's population is expected to be 36,023 in 2030, 29,983 in 2040, and 24,023 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kitaibaraki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kitaibaraki's population is projected to change by -42.5%. The 10-year change is -13.8% and the 20-year change is -28.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Kitaibaraki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kitaibaraki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.4% to 49.5% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kitaibaraki?
A.Kitaibaraki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 49.5% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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