Japan Population Decline Simulator

Ibaraki茨城県

Toukai 東海村

Data last updated:

Toukai, Ibaraki, Japan has a population of 37,783 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 36,817 by 2030 and 33,173 by 2050 (a decrease of about 12.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 25.3% in 2020 to 36.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

37,783

2030Projection

36,817

▼ -2.8%

2040Projection

35,072

▼ -7.4%

2050Projection

33,173

▼ -12.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 25.3%→2050 36.1%

Enter your age

See the population of 東海村 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Ibaraki (茨城県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Toukai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198029,197▼ -22.9%Census
198531,065▼ -18.0%Census
199031,557▼ -16.7%Census
199532,727▼ -13.6%Census
200034,333▼ -9.4%Census
200535,450▼ -6.4%Census
201037,438▼ -1.2%Census
201537,713▼ -0.5%Census
202037,891—Census
202537,783▼ -0.3%Census
203036,817▼ -2.8%Projection
203535,951▼ -5.1%Projection
204035,072▼ -7.4%Projection
204534,178▼ -9.8%Projection
205033,173▼ -12.5%Projection

About Toukai

Overview

Toukai (東海村) is a municipality in Ibaraki, Japan, with a population of 37,783 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Toukai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Toukai's population is expected to reach 36,817 by 2030 (-2.8%), 35,072 by 2040 (-7.4%), and 33,173 by 2050 (-12.5%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Toukai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 25.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Toukai's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1553 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1540 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #802 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Ibaraki

Earnings in Ibaraki (茨城県): Average salary in Ibaraki (茨城県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Toukai, Ibaraki?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Toukai has a population of 37,783.
Q.What is the population of Toukai in 2026?
A.Toukai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 37,590. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (37,783) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (36,817).
Q.What is the projected population of Toukai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Toukai's population is expected to be 36,817 in 2030, 35,072 in 2040, and 33,173 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Toukai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Toukai's population is projected to change by -12.5%. The 10-year change is -2.8% and the 20-year change is -7.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Toukai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Toukai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 25.3% to 36.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Toukai?
A.Toukai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 25.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Ibaraki

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page