Japan Population Decline Simulator

Gunma群馬県

Naganohara 長野原町

Data last updated:

Naganohara, Gunma, Japan has a population of 4,839 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 4,219 by 2030 and 2,681 by 2050 (a decrease of about 47.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.2% in 2020 to 54.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

4,839

2030

(Projection)

4,219

▼ -17.2%

2040

(Projection)

3,430

▼ -32.7%

2050

(Projection)

2,681

▼ -47.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39.2%→2050 54.1%

Enter your age

See the population of 長野原町 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Gunma (群馬県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Naganohara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19807,237▲ +42.0%Census
19857,063▲ +38.6%Census
19906,878▲ +35.0%Census
19957,017▲ +37.7%Census
20006,939▲ +36.2%Census
20056,563▲ +28.8%Census
20106,017▲ +18.1%Census
20155,536▲ +8.7%Census
20205,095—Census
20254,839▼ -5.0%Census
20304,219▼ -17.2%Projection
20353,821▼ -25.0%Projection
20403,430▼ -32.7%Projection
20453,047▼ -40.2%Projection
20502,681▼ -47.4%Projection

About Naganohara

Overview

Naganohara (長野原町) is a municipality in Gunma, Japan, with a population of 4,839 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Naganohara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Naganohara's population is expected to reach 4,219 by 2030 (-17.2%), 3,430 by 2040 (-32.7%), and 2,681 by 2050 (-47.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Naganohara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 54.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Naganohara is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #437 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #315 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1603 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Gunma

Earnings in Gunma (群馬県): Average salary in Gunma (群馬県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Naganohara, Gunma?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Naganohara has a population of 4,839.
Q.What is the population of Naganohara in 2026?
A.Naganohara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 4,715. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (4,839) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (4,219).
Q.What is the projected population of Naganohara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Naganohara's population is expected to be 4,219 in 2030, 3,430 in 2040, and 2,681 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Naganohara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Naganohara's population is projected to change by -47.4%. The 10-year change is -17.2% and the 20-year change is -32.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Naganohara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Naganohara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.2% to 54.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Naganohara?
A.Naganohara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 54.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Gunma

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page