Japan Population Decline Simulator

Saitama埼玉県

Kawajima 川島町

Data last updated:

Kawajima, Saitama, Japan has a population of 17,873 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 16,788 by 2030 and 11,022 by 2050 (a decrease of about 43.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.0% in 2020 to 52.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

17,873

2030

(Projection)

16,788

▼ -13.4%

2040

(Projection)

13,839

▼ -28.6%

2050

(Projection)

11,022

▼ -43.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36%→2050 52.9%

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Other municipalities in Saitama (埼玉県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kawajima Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198017,393▼ -10.2%Census
198519,865▲ +2.5%Census
199021,946▲ +13.3%Census
199523,134▲ +19.4%Census
200023,322▲ +20.4%Census
200522,906▲ +18.2%Census
201022,147▲ +14.3%Census
201520,788▲ +7.3%Census
202019,378—Census
202517,873▼ -7.8%Census
203016,788▼ -13.4%Projection
203515,338▼ -20.8%Projection
204013,839▼ -28.6%Projection
204512,360▼ -36.2%Projection
205011,022▼ -43.1%Projection

About Kawajima

Overview

Kawajima (川島町) is a municipality in Saitama, Japan, with a population of 17,873 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kawajima

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kawajima's population is expected to reach 16,788 by 2030 (-13.4%), 13,839 by 2040 (-28.6%), and 11,022 by 2050 (-43.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kawajima

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 52.9% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kawajima is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #597 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #373 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1110 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Saitama

Earnings in Saitama (埼玉県): Average salary in Saitama (埼玉県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kawajima, Saitama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kawajima has a population of 17,873.
Q.What is the population of Kawajima in 2026?
A.Kawajima's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 17,656. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (17,873) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (16,788).
Q.What is the projected population of Kawajima in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kawajima's population is expected to be 16,788 in 2030, 13,839 in 2040, and 11,022 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kawajima?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kawajima's population is projected to change by -43.1%. The 10-year change is -13.4% and the 20-year change is -28.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Kawajima declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kawajima, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.0% to 52.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kawajima?
A.Kawajima's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 52.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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